Dickes Raueis am Erzgebirgskamm auf ca. 850m!
Danke an Martin B. aus Oberwiesenthal. /FR

Meteorological is over and we can already say that 2022 is still on track to be the warmest and sunniest year in many regions of , even if it has become a bit gloomier and cooler at the moment.

Here are the average and duration for the periods Jan-Nov for /Main.




As we start December, it looks almost certain that Central England will experience its warmest year on record.
Only 3 Decembers in the past century were cold enough to stop the record being broken, in a dataset that goes back to 1772.

My contribution to 🙃. My trip to Iceland in 2018 turned out to be very fruitful in this respect. 😁

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Neuerung im Bodenfeuchteviewer des @DeutscherWetterdienst:

Ab sofort kann für ausgewählte Stationen der Jahresverlauf der abgerufen werden. dwd.de/DE/fachnutzer/landwirts

Interessant ist dabei aktuell der Vergleich zwischen Ost und West. Während die Bodenfeuchte z. B. in -Dahlem so niedrig ist wie seit rund 30 Jahren nicht, hat sie sich am Flughafen /Main nach extremer im erholt und liegt nunmehr am oberen Ende der Bandbreite.



In the diagram one can see how the "wave train" over the North Atlantic is abruptly stopped over W-Europe by the aforementioned , which even tends to shift retrograde.

The regime trajectories show a pronounced evolution from "blocking" to "negative NAO" in the NAO-BLO space.

It can therefore be assumed that there could be a sign. increased probability of continental cold air advancing as far as C- or even W- in the medium term.


extent in the Northern Hemisphere has reached a record maximum! This is mainly due to the snow-rich North Asian region.

This favors the formation of a "cold high" there, which in turn strengthens and possibly prolongs the blocking of the North Atlantic/Eurasian flow pattern.

Source: globalcryospherewatch.org/stat






Today's eruption of Mauna Loa, seen from around 40,000km away by NOAA's GOES-18 weather satellite.

This was a very thundery day today in the area of the western . A prominent line of formed off the from the morning hours, which moved southeastward over the archipelago during the day. Per hour up to 5,000 and a total of more than 25,000 lightning strikes were registered throughout the day.
The brought heavy rain and gale-force winds.





Hooray! It's !
Today we are heading to , . On May 15, we were able to intercept an HP that had an extremely high frequency. The CG flashes were striking every second from the shelf cloud towards the ground. Thus, a discharge made it on almost every photo. However, we were constantly on the run from a dusty outflow boundary. In the end it drove us all the way to southwest .




As can be seen from the trend curve, the timing of the first frost since the 1940s shifted backward by about 25 days, from the second decade of October to the second decade of November.

For 8 years now, there has been no frost in October in Mainz.

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In some regions of southwestern , the meteorological ends without any . At some stations, this had never been the case before. At the -Lerchenberg station, the autumn has been frost-free only twice so far (2002, 2014). The latest first frost occurred in 2002 on December 7. Going by the MOS , the first frost will occur on December 3 this year, which would be the second latest occurrence.





The blocking situation over northern/northeastern continues and will even intensify in the medium term. Further wintering is to be expected over Eastern Europe. The anomaly of the 2m temperature of the mean of the IFS-EPS already ranges from -6 to -10 K on a widespread area. However, it is completely unclear how far the cold air can advance to the west, as the position of the blocking high is subject to great uncertainties.




The vertical resolution increase primarily affects the upper troposphere and stratosphere because this turned out to maximize the benefit for the forecast quality.
Likewise, the horizontal resolution upgrade is restricted to the EPS because it currently operates in a resolution range where an increase immediately results in a better forecast quality, whereas the potential benefit in the deterministic system would be much smaller.



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Today: Resolution upgrade for the @deutscherwetterdienst model!

ICON-EPS: 40 km -> 26 km (horizontal)
ICON-EU-EPS: 20 km -> 13 km (horizontal)
ICON: 90 layers -> 120 layers (vertical)
ICON-EU: 60 layers -> 74 layers (vertical)



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Strong cyclogenesis is nothing unusual in the Mediterranean at this time of year, but in terms of surface pressure, we are at the lowest end of the scale with .

=> arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/models

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It's going to be a wild Tuesday in the western/central Mediterranean. The , named by the Southwest Group of the European Storm Coordination Team, will bring -force winds (gusts up to 10 Bft (100 km/h), locally up to 12 Bft (130 km/h), as well as heavy (locally >30 mm/3 h, accumulated widespread 80 to 140 mm, in the mountains even more). In the higher mountainous areas, heavy and gales will partly create conditions.



It's time to revive an old trend. Under I will show a photo from my tours every Sunday starting today. I would be very happy to share photos with you. :)

Today I want to start with my highlight of this year, the LP from May 14, taken not far from "Twister"-, . Just in time for the blue hour, this isolated cell unfolded its full beauty and gave us an unforgettable moment.

Because it is so nice, a somewhat more detailed analysis of the area in central based on a multispectral image :).

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